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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29

Columbus Crew

COU

Charlotte FC

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Columbus35%
Draw29%
Charlotte FC36%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.29

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 0110.2%
  • 1010.1%
  • 008.9%
  • 128.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Columbus will have the ball; Charlotte FC will not mind.

62%Possession36%
48%Territory36%
9%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.9%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Columbus, 3 for Charlotte FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.