Major League Soccer · Matchweek 29
FC Cincinnati
FCC
New England Revolution
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cincinnati20%
Draw21%
New England59%
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.15
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–36.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession42%
41%Territory39%
79%From set plays9%
0.05Chance quality0.21
6.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cincinnati, 3 for New England. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.