Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Minnesota United
MIN
Houston Dynamo FC
HOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Minnesota36%
Draw28%
Houston36%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.31
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Houston will have the ball; Minnesota will not mind.
46%Possession60%
42%Territory43%
11%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Minnesota, 3 for Houston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.