Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Portland Timbers
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting KC46%
Draw23%
Portland32%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.69
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
72%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession54%
41%Territory42%
4%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting KC, 3 for Portland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting KC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.