Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Colorado Rapids
COL
San Jose Earthquakes
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colorado37%
Draw32%
San Jose32%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.04
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–013.0%
- 0–111.8%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
San Jose get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession44%
29%Territory37%
9%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.15
3.2%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Colorado, 3 for San Jose. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colorado
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.