Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
New England Revolution
NEW
Seattle Sounders FC
SEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
New England50%
Draw25%
Seattle Sounders25%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.19
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession52%
39%Territory43%
9%From set plays14%
0.21Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for New England, 2 for Seattle Sounders. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Seattle Sounders
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.