Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Charlotte FC
CHA
FC Dallas
FCD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlotte FC45%
Draw26%
Dallas29%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.30
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dallas will have the ball; Charlotte FC will not mind.
36%Possession44%
36%Territory43%
9%From set plays12%
0.15Chance quality0.15
6.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlotte FC, 3 for Dallas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.