Major League Soccer · Matchweek 28
Atlanta United
ATL
FC Cincinnati
FCC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlanta United62%
Draw20%
Cincinnati18%
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.21
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession51%
44%Territory41%
14%From set plays79%
0.13Chance quality0.05
6.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlanta United, 2 for Cincinnati. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlanta United
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.