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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27

Seattle Sounders FC

SEA

Minnesota United

MIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Seattle Sounders55%
Draw22%
Minnesota23%

Expected goals

2.09 – 1.35

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.5%
  • 119.3%
  • 107.3%
  • 207.0%
  • 316.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession46%
43%Territory42%
14%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Seattle Sounders, 3 for Minnesota. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.