Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
San Jose Earthquakes
SAN
Portland Timbers
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
San Jose51%
Draw24%
Portland24%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.21
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portland will have the ball; San Jose will not mind.
44%Possession54%
37%Territory42%
36%From set plays29%
0.15Chance quality0.14
4.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for San Jose, 3 for Portland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.