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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27

Real Salt Lake

REA

New England Revolution

NEW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Salt Lake34%
Draw27%
New England39%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.47

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 019.1%
  • 128.6%
  • 108.3%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salt Lake will have the ball; New England will not mind.

53%Possession42%
49%Territory39%
36%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.21
3.5%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salt Lake, 3 for New England. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.