Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
Nashville SC
NAS
Toronto FC
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nashville SC45%
Draw26%
Toronto30%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.31
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession42%
37%Territory41%
30%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nashville SC, 2 for Toronto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nashville SC
Toronto
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.