Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
LA Galaxy
LAG
Colorado Rapids
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LA Galaxy30%
Draw30%
Colorado40%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.29
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–112.3%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–010.1%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession51%
38%Territory29%
15%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LA Galaxy, 3 for Colorado. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colorado
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.