Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
Houston Dynamo FC
HOU
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Houston46%
Draw27%
Sporting KC27%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.13
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.1%
- 0–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession49%
43%Territory41%
17%From set plays4%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Houston, 2 for Sporting KC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting KC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.