Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
FC Dallas
FCD
Los Angeles FC
LOS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dallas38%
Draw25%
LAFC37%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.58
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession48%
43%Territory42%
12%From set plays22%
0.15Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dallas, 3 for LAFC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.