Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
CF Montréal
CFM
FC Cincinnati
FCC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montreal45%
Draw26%
Cincinnati30%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.33
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession51%
40%Territory41%
8%From set plays79%
0.07Chance quality0.05
5.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Montreal, 2 for Cincinnati. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Montreal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.