Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
Charlotte FC
CHA
Chicago Fire FC
CHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlotte FC44%
Draw27%
Chicago28%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.15
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
36%Possession53%
36%Territory46%
9%From set plays20%
0.15Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlotte FC, 2 for Chicago. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.