Major League Soccer · Matchweek 27
Atlanta United
ATL
New York City FC
NEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlanta United52%
Draw26%
NYCFC22%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.00
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession56%
44%Territory35%
14%From set plays15%
0.13Chance quality0.07
6.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlanta United, 2 for NYCFC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlanta United
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.