Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
Portland Timbers
POR
Atlanta United
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portland39%
Draw25%
Atlanta United36%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.58
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession53%
42%Territory44%
29%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Portland, 3 for Atlanta United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlanta United
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.