Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
Nashville SC
NAS
Chicago Fire FC
CHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nashville SC49%
Draw26%
Chicago25%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.10
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession53%
37%Territory46%
30%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nashville SC, 2 for Chicago. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nashville SC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.