Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Philadelphia Union
PHI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting KC17%
Draw20%
Philadelphia63%
Expected goals
1.21 – 2.33
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.3%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–37.4%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession55%
41%Territory52%
4%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.6%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting KC, 2 for Philadelphia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting KC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.