Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
Houston Dynamo FC
HOU
FC Cincinnati
FCC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Houston56%
Draw25%
Cincinnati19%
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.92
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession51%
43%Territory41%
17%From set plays79%
0.08Chance quality0.05
4.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Houston, 2 for Cincinnati. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.