Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
FC Dallas
FCD
Austin FC
AUS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dallas52%
Draw25%
Austin FC22%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.07
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Austin FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession48%
43%Territory34%
12%From set plays28%
0.15Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dallas, 3 for Austin FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.