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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26

Colorado Rapids

COL

Seattle Sounders FC

SEA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Colorado38%
Draw30%
Seattle Sounders32%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.09

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.3%
  • 1012.4%
  • 0011.5%
  • 0110.9%
  • 218.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession52%
29%Territory43%
9%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Colorado, 2 for Seattle Sounders. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.