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Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26

New England Revolution

NEW

Orlando City

ORL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

New England51%
Draw23%
Orlando26%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.37

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.0%
  • 219.4%
  • 107.7%
  • 206.8%
  • 226.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Orlando will have the ball; New England will not mind.

42%Possession55%
39%Territory36%
9%From set plays4%
0.21Chance quality0.17
4.8%Directness2.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for New England, 3 for Orlando. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.