Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
CF Montréal
CFM
Columbus Crew
COU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montreal31%
Draw29%
Columbus40%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.33
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession62%
40%Territory48%
8%From set plays9%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Montreal, 3 for Columbus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Montreal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.