Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
DC United
DCU
Charlotte FC
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
DC United34%
Draw30%
Charlotte FC36%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.20
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–010.7%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
30%Possession36%
35%Territory36%
21%From set plays9%
0.15Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for DC United, 3 for Charlotte FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.