Major League Soccer · Matchweek 26
New York City FC
NEY
Red Bull New York
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NYCFC40%
Draw31%
NY Red Bulls29%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.01
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–110.7%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession49%
35%Territory51%
15%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NYCFC, 3 for NY Red Bulls. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
NY Red Bulls
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.