Major League Soccer · Matchweek 24
Seattle Sounders FC
SEA
Sporting Kansas City
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Seattle Sounders52%
Draw23%
Sporting KC25%
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.40
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–06.6%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession49%
43%Territory41%
14%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Seattle Sounders, 2 for Sporting KC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Seattle Sounders
Sporting KC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.