Major League Soccer · Matchweek 23
FC Cincinnati
FCC
DC United
DCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cincinnati31%
Draw27%
DC United43%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.53
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession30%
41%Territory35%
79%From set plays21%
0.05Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cincinnati, 2 for DC United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.