Major League Soccer · Matchweek 9
Chicago Fire FC
CHI
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chicago32%
Draw27%
Vancouver41%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.47
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession52%
46%Territory43%
20%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Chicago, 3 for Vancouver. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 372 matches, not the full season.