Canadian Premier League · Semi-finals
Forge FC
FOR
Atlético Ottawa
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Forge FC58%
Draw26%
Atlético Ottawa16%
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.71
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.6%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–011.2%
- 2–19.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Ottawa will have the ball; Forge FC will not mind.
46%Possession54%
39%Territory34%
6.1%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Forge FC, 3 for Atlético Ottawa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 114 matches, not the full season.