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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 24

Al Hilal

ALH

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Hilal84%
Draw12%
Al-Taawoun4%

Expected goals

2.66 – 0.50

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

37%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–015.2%
  • 3–013.2%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 4–08.6%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Taawoun will not mind.

59%Possession42%
54%Territory37%
28%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al-Taawoun. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.