Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 24
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha21%
Draw23%
Al Shabab56%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.93
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab will have the ball; Al-Fayha will not mind.
48%Possession57%
33%Territory42%
17%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.1%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 3 for Al Shabab. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.