Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 24
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC25%
Draw28%
Neom SC47%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.48
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.5%
- 1–112.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.2%
- 0–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
40%Possession55%
43%Territory40%
24%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.09
8.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.