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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 24

Al-Ettifaq

ALE

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Ettifaq18%
Draw21%
Al Qadsiah61%

Expected goals

1.14 – 2.17

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 0–28.7%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–37.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al-Ettifaq will not mind.

49%Possession61%
41%Territory52%
30%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al Qadsiah.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.