Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Neom SC
NEO
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC21%
Draw25%
Al Hilal54%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.73
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.4%
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.2%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession58%
42%Territory48%
35%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.18
7.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 5 for Al Hilal.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.