Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah52%
Draw25%
Al Fateh FC23%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.10
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Diriyah get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
38%Territory34%
36%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.