Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah48%
Draw26%
Al Fateh FC26%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.13
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Diriyah will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
49%Possession40%
44%Territory43%
18%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.0%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.