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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Al Hazem

ALZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Taawoun41%
Draw28%
Al Hazem30%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.18

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Taawoun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession44%
37%Territory40%
40%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.6%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 4 for Al Hazem.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Al Hazem

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.