Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Al Shabab
ALS
Al Kholood
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab35%
Draw27%
Al Kholood38%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.43
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession51%
47%Territory43%
19%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.6%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al Kholood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.