Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Al Shabab
ALS
Al Kholood
ALO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab63%
Draw19%
Al Kholood18%
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.35
Over 2.5
73%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–06.8%
- 2–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession50%
42%Territory40%
31%From set plays13%
0.15Chance quality0.18
5.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Shabab, 3 for Al Kholood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.