Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Khaleej
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh27%
Draw25%
Al Khaleej47%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.69
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession52%
37%Territory41%
14%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al Khaleej. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.