Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly32%
Draw28%
Al-Ettifaq39%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.37
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Faisaly get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession54%
32%Territory48%
39%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al-Ettifaq.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.