Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Abha
ABH
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha11%
Draw20%
Al Nassr FC69%
Expected goals
0.74 – 2.11
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.9%
- 0–112.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–38.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
42%Possession60%
34%Territory55%
8%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al Nassr FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.