Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 23
Abha
ABH
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha11%
Draw20%
Al Nassr FC69%
Expected goals
0.74 – 2.05
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 0–213.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–38.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
43%Possession54%
38%Territory43%
23%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.15
8.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 3 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.