Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Qadsiah75%
Draw16%
Al Diriyah9%
Expected goals
2.51 – 0.82
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 3–09.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
61%Possession49%
52%Territory44%
9%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.0%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.