Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Qadsiah66%
Draw20%
Al Diriyah14%
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.96
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
57%Possession45%
44%Territory38%
13%From set plays36%
0.18Chance quality0.14
4.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.