Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC61%
Draw22%
Al Ittihad17%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.98
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.9%
- 2–010.1%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession53%
55%Territory47%
26%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.