Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC56%
Draw23%
Al Ittihad21%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.13
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession56%
43%Territory47%
33%From set plays9%
0.15Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Nassr FC, 3 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.