Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Kholood
ALK
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood50%
Draw27%
Al-Fayha23%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.01
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession48%
43%Territory32%
20%From set plays12%
0.16Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al-Fayha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Kholood
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.