Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Khaleej
ALL
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Khaleej26%
Draw28%
Neom SC46%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.42
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.8%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–09.9%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession55%
48%Territory42%
28%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Khaleej
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.