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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22

Al Khaleej

ALK

Neom SC

NEO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Khaleej36%
Draw30%
Neom SC34%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.16

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession55%
41%Territory40%
34%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.1%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Neom SC.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.