Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Hilal
ALH
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal81%
Draw12%
Al Shabab6%
Expected goals
2.89 – 0.76
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.2%
- 3–010.4%
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.0%
- 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Shabab will not mind.
58%Possession49%
48%Territory47%
24%From set plays19%
0.18Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al Shabab.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.