Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al-Faisaly
ALL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem40%
Draw27%
Al-Faisaly33%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.32
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession49%
40%Territory35%
24%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 5 for Al-Faisaly.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.