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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22

Al Fateh FC

ALT

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Fateh FC42%
Draw26%
Al-Taawoun32%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.34

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Taawoun will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.

44%Possession54%
34%Territory44%
20%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al-Taawoun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.