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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22

Al Fateh FC

ALT

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Fateh FC39%
Draw28%
Al-Taawoun33%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.25

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–08.5%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Taawoun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession42%
43%Territory37%
24%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.12
8.5%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al-Taawoun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.